Mkhwanazi used Standard Bank’s mortgage applications data to assess how the affordability of homes for first-time buyers has changed since 2006, from both a structural and a cyclical perspective, by tracking Standard Bank’s two affordability indices for median first-time buyers i.e. SBR’s price-to-income ratio (PTI) and instalment-to-income ratio (ITI).
With a focus on first-time buyers, the study can be interpreted as a “means test” for the average aspirant first-time buyer accessing the mortgage market. Comprising 19% of net household wealth (as at 2015), residential assets are an important determinant of SA’s consumptive capacity and driver of living standards.
Main findings
In the first quarter of 2016, the median first-time buyer earned approximately R29,000pm, and falls within Standard Bank's Emerging Middle Income group, i.e. with household income of R16,418 - R33,333.
Analysing income, house price and instalment trends for first-time buyers over the last decade, the study shows that mortgage affordability has structurally improved.