An example of this type of behaviour could be seen at the end of 2015. Due to the extremely pessimistic sentiment that pervaded the markets, many investors insisted on switching into cash as they watched the values of their equity investments plummet. Then, at the beginning of 2016, some of the stocks that had led the market correction down began to significantly re-rate and their prices have now improved considerably. But it’s too late for those who impatiently exited the market – they have now locked in these losses.
To compound this error, they also missed out on the significant correction in the early part of 2016. This would have been an opportunity to recover from the lower levels their investments were at in December. The past few months have shown how swiftly markets can change – and how easy it is to get caught on the wrong side.
This is where good investment advice comes into its own. Investors with a well-diversified investment strategy with the appropriate level of risk given their time horizon (which is often longer than we think) will have been in the fortunate position where the different parts of their diverse portfolio all played their role – from cash to offshore assets.
It is also where intelligent asset management comes into its own. Making the mistake of focusing on short-term performance and making panic-driven decisions can have devastating effects on long-term returns. In turbulent times investment managers need to take a step back, do their research, debate vigorously and find the investment opportunities that can arise from uncertainty.