Low economic growth
However he adds: “Economists say the most pressing issue for the MPC at the moment is low economic growth and the real danger that SA could tip into recession before the end of the year – note the fact that inflation is running at slightly above the MPC’s 6% ceiling.”
What is more, he says, most South African households are not actually spending excessively. Rather, they are struggling to make ends meet as a result of the high food prices induced by the drought, electricity and other tariff increases this year, and higher debt repayments as a result of the two interest rate increases imposed earlier this year.