Slowing sales volumes
“The combined effect of the negative GDP growth rate, the increase in interest rates, higher inflation, the increase in unemployment, lower consumer confidence and economic instability have all played a role in the increase of new and used vehicle pricing,” said de Vries.
The TransUnion SA Vehicle Pricing Index (VPI) for new and used vehicle prices increased substantially to 8.4% and 2.7% in Q2 2016 from 6.6% and 2.2% in Q1 2016 respectively.
“The index indicates that consumers are enduring substantial increases in the basket of high volume passenger vehicles and this will slow the new and used car market,” said de Vries. “Consumers tend to look for cheaper cars or hold on to their existing vehicles for longer than normal.”
Fewer deals financed
TransUnion data also show that there have been fewer deals financed in the second quarter of this year, compared to last year. “TransUnion’s financial registrations data indicates a drop of around 48% and 24% on new and used financed deals respectively in Q2 2016 compared to Q2 2015,” said de Vries. “The drop in new vehicle financial deals is the lowest it’s been since May 2009, due to the highest percentage change in the VPI since 2009 Q4.”
The percentage of new and used cars being financed under R200,000 remains unchanged from last quarter. This indicates that the trend will continue next quarter. “Consumers are either financing cheaper new vehicles or more expensive used vehicles.